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Modeling the Epidemiologic Transition Study synthesis team

Health, Heat and Wellbeing

Modeling the Epidemiologic Transition Study | ASCEND Synthesis Team

This research team studies cardiometabolic health in African-origin populations across multiple countries, examining how physical activity, diet, and environmental factors influence obesity and disease risk over time.

Overview

About this synthesis team

This research team studies cardiometabolic health in African-origin populations across multiple countries, examining how physical activity, diet, and environmental factors influence obesity and disease risk over time.

The Challenge

African populations are undergoing rapid epidemiologic transitions, with rising non-communicable disease burdens layered onto persistent infectious risks. Climate and environmental change interacts with both, but the cohort, surveillance, and environmental datasets needed to see the pattern are rarely analysed together.

Our Approach

METS harmonises existing longitudinal cohort data with environmental and climate exposure records to model how warming, air quality, and shifting livelihoods reshape disease trends, delivering findings jointly with public health decision-makers.

Expected Outputs

  • Epidemiological risk models
  • Peer-reviewed synthesis paper
  • Public health policy brief

People

Team members

Researchers, practitioners, and decision-makers contributing to this synthesis team.

Project leads

2 members
  • Lara R. Dugas

    Loyola University Chicago, United States & University of Cape Town, South Africa

  • Amy Luke

    Loyola University Chicago, United States

Project members

8 members
  • Kweku Bedu-Addo

    Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana

  • Kingsley Apusiga

    Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Ghana

  • Estelle V. Lambert

    University of Cape Town, South Africa

  • Terrence E. Forrester

    University of West Indies, Jamaica

  • Pascal Bovet

    Ministry of Health, Victoria, Republic of Seychelles

  • Jack A. Gilbert

    University of Sand Diego, United States

  • Brian T. Layden

    University of Illinois Chicago, United States

  • Candice Choo-Kang

    Loyola University Chicago, United States

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